Viendo archivo del lunes, 1 abril 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Apr 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 091 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Apr 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was low. Only a few low-level C-class
flares occurred. Region 9885 (N11E01) retains moderate sunspot area
but has simplified somewhat in magnetic complexity. Region 9887
(N01E24) continues to grow and develop. Region 9886 (N11E16) has
also grown.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. M-class flares are possible in Regions 9885, 9886, and
9887.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. The field
remained under the influence of a high-speed coronal hole stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to active levels for the next 24 hours
becoming quiet to unsettled by the end of the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Apr a 04 Apr
| Clase M | 50% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Apr 207 Previsto 02 Apr-04 Apr 210/210/205 Media de 90 Días 01 Apr 203
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Mar 012/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Apr 015/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Apr-04 Apr 015/020-010/010-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Apr a 04 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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