Viendo archivo del lunes, 10 junio 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 10 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 161 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jun 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels. Two optically uncorrelated C1 x-ray flares comprised the flare activity for the period. Region 9987 (S15W29) grew in magnetic complexity and penumbral coverage today. Even so, several point brightenings and intermittent dark surging were all that kept this region from being quiescent during the past 24 hours. Region 9985 (N18W51) showed a continued decay in spot count and magnetic complexity. Most other active regions on the visible disk remain little changed. New Region 9995 (N10W01) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels. Region 9987 has the potential to produce an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels. A coronal hole may have been responsible for the active conditions that began near mid-period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jun a 13 Jun
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       10 Jun 152
  Previsto   11 Jun-13 Jun  150/145/150
  Media de 90 Días        10 Jun 181
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jun  009/015
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 10 Jun  010/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun  005/010-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jun a 13 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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