Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 160 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was low. A lone C1 x-ray flare was the
highlight of the flare activity during the period. It went
optically uncorrelated and occurred at 09/1009 UTC. Region 9987
(S15W16) showed a slight increase in sunspot numbers. The remainder
of the numbered regions showed very little (if any) modification
throughout the period. New Regions 9993 (N06W20) and 9994 (N10E59)
were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Region 9987 remains the most likely source for flare
production.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field activity has been at quiet to active levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field activity
is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jun a 12 Jun
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Jun 157 Previsto 10 Jun-12 Jun 155/150/145 Media de 90 Días 09 Jun 181
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jun 012/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Jun 012/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun 008/010-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jun a 12 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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