Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 164 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 9991 (S20W09)
produced a C1.5/Sf flare at 12/2119 UTC with associated discrete
frequency radio bursts. Region 9987 (S15W71) continues its gradual
decay and has simplified to a beta magnetic configuration. The only
other significant disk activity was a five degree disappearing
filament at S14E18.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Region 9987 and Region 9991 have a slight chance of
producing low level M-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active
conditions are possible on day two of the forecast period due to
coronal hole effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jun a 16 Jun
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jun 133 Previsto 14 Jun-16 Jun 135/140/145 Media de 90 Días 13 Jun 179
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jun 006/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jun 006/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun 006/008-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jun a 16 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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