Viendo archivo del sábado, 22 junio 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 22 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 173 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jun 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours. Yesterday's C1 flare at 21/2020 UTC was associated with activity behind the Southwest limb and with a limb CME. The CME does not appear to have any earthward component. The only C-class event during the past 24 hours was a C2/Sf at 0236 UTC from Region 5 (N13E00). This group showed some moderate growth during the past 24 hours. Region 8 (S09E26) remains the largest on the disk but was quiet and stable. New regions 10 (S12E00) and 11 (S12E62) were assigned today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jun a 25 Jun
Clase M20%20%20%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Jun 142
  Previsto   23 Jun-25 Jun  145/150/150
  Media de 90 Días        22 Jun 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jun  005/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Jun  007/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Jun-25 Jun  010/012-007/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jun a 25 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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