Viendo archivo del viernes, 21 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 172 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours with
the occurrence of just two C-class flares. The first of these was a
C1 at 0506 UTC that appears to be associated with activity just
beyond the southwest limb. The second C-flare was a C1 at 2020 UTC:
at the time of forecast issue there was not data available to
determine a source region. Region 8 (S08E39) continues to be the
largest group on the disk but was stable and quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Quiet to unsettled levels are
expected to prevail for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Jun a 24 Jun
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Jun 140 Previsto 22 Jun-24 Jun 145/145/150 Media de 90 Días 21 Jun 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Jun 006/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Jun 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun 007/008-010/010-007/006
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Jun a 24 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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