Viendo archivo del viernes, 1 noviembre 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Nov 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 305 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Nov 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Several low to mid
C-class flares were observed during the period. Region 175 (N15E18)
and Region 177 (N15E43) were responsible for the majority of the
events. Region 177 has doubled in area and sunspot count in the
last 24 hours and is now averaging around 310 millionths white light
area with 15 spots. Two new regions were numbered today as Region
179 (N02E72) and 180 (S11E70).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 175 and 177 have the potential to produce an
isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. The greater than
2 MeV electron fluxes reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for 2 November. Unsettled to
active conditions are possible on 3-4 November due to the effects of
a recurring coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Nov a 04 Nov
| Clase M | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Nov 162 Previsto 02 Nov-04 Nov 170/175/180 Media de 90 Días 01 Nov 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Oct 013/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Nov 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Nov-04 Nov 010/012-015/020-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Nov a 04 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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