Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 diciembre 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Dec 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 343 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Dec 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. A few minor C-class
flares were observed today. The largest event of the period was a
C2.5/Sf flare with an associated eruptive prominence on the east
limb from newly numbered Region 220 (S12E47). Available data
suggests that there may have been some interaction from Region 218
(S20E55) during this event. Region 214 (N13W83) has begun to
quietly exit the west limb. Regions 219 (S05W25) and 221 (N22E61)
were also assigned today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at low levels. C-class activity continues to be likely from Region
220.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit briefly reached
moderate levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the
forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Dec 156 Previsto 10 Dec-12 Dec 160/160/165 Media de 90 Días 09 Dec 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 008/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Dec 006/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec 006/010-006/010-006/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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