Viendo archivo del lunes, 27 enero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jan 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 027 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jan 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No significant events
occurred in the past 24 hours. One new active region, 273 (N06W18),
was born on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speeds
dropped to more normal levels near 450 km/s. Energetic electron
fluxes at geosynchronous orbit attained high values during the
interval.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to persist at quiet to unsettled conditions throughout the
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jan 121 Previsto 28 Jan-30 Jan 120/120/125 Media de 90 Días 27 Jan 158
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 012/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jan 010/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jan-30 Jan 010/010-010/008-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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