Viendo archivo del domingo, 23 febrero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Feb 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 054 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Feb 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred as the
disk is marked by just two spotted regions.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 290 (N18W21), quiet today, may produce an occasional C-class
event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The solar wind radial
speed remains elevated, gusting between 550 and 650 km/s. The
energetic electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled. Periodic active conditions may
occur, pending a decline in the solar wind speed.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Feb a 26 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Feb 104 Previsto 24 Feb-26 Feb 100/100/105 Media de 90 Días 23 Feb 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Feb 011/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Feb-26 Feb 010/010-010/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Feb a 26 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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