Viendo archivo del viernes, 28 febrero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Feb 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 059 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Feb 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. There were several
C-class flares today: a C3.4 at 2344 UTC from an unnumbered region
on the West limb at N11, a C1.5 at 0033 UTC, a C1.7 at 0620 UTC, and
a C1.0 at 1250 UTC from Region 293 (S19E21). Region 296 (N12E76)
was newly assigned today. SXI images from GOES-12 show two new
regions behind the East limb at approximately N11 and S16.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to active levels. The
co-rotating interaction region from yesterday was followed quickly
by a high speed coronal hole stream. At geosynchronous orbit, the
greater than 2 MeV Electron fluxes reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels as the high speed
coronal hole stream continues.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Mar a 03 Mar
| Clase M | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Feb 125 Previsto 01 Mar-03 Mar 130/135/145 Media de 90 Días 28 Feb 143
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Feb 017/022 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Feb 015/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Mar-03 Mar 015/012-010/012-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Mar a 03 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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