Viendo archivo del sábado, 1 marzo 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Mar 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 060 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Mar 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. There were several
C-class flares today: one C5.1 at 0115 UTC from Region 297
(S16E67), a C2.4 at 0842 UTC and a C3.0 at 1432 UTC from Region 292
(S07 on the West limb), and 4 separate C-Class flares from Region
296 (N13E78). Region 297 (S16E67) was newly assigned today. SXI
images from GOES-12 show yet another new region behind the East limb
at approximately S20.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to active levels due to a high
speed coronal hole stream which has nearly passed. At
geosynchronous orbit, the greater than 2 MeV Electron fluxes reached
high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next two days,
increasing to unsettled to active levels on day three.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Mar a 04 Mar
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Mar 138 Previsto 02 Mar-04 Mar 145/150/155 Media de 90 Días 01 Mar 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Feb 011/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Mar 012/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar 012/012-012/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Mar a 04 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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