Viendo archivo del domingo, 2 marzo 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Mar 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 061 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Mar 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. A small number of
C-class flares did occur with the largest a C1.3 at 1021 UTC from
Region 292 (S09W78). SXI imagery from GOES-12 shows two new regions
behind the East limb at approximately N15 and S20.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next day,
increasing to unsettled to active levels on days two and three.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Mar a 05 Mar
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Mar 147 Previsto 03 Mar-05 Mar 150/150/155 Media de 90 Días 02 Mar 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Mar 009/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Mar 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Mar-05 Mar 012/015-015/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Mar a 05 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 45% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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