Viendo archivo del lunes, 10 marzo 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Mar 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 069 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Mar 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels. The largest
flare of the period was a C2.0/Sf event that occurred at 10/1754Z
from Region 310 (S16W62). This region has been in decay throughout
the period. Region 306 (N05E34) was responsible for lesser B-class
flares and has also shown some decay. Most of the spotted regions
were quiescent during the period. New Region 312 (N09W25) was newly
assigned today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
An isolated active period occurred at mid and high latitudes
between 10/1200 and 1500Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through the first 48
hours of the period. Day three should experience active conditions
due to a co-rotating interactive region that has preceded a
recurrent coronal hole over the past several rotations.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Mar a 13 Mar
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Mar 144 Previsto 11 Mar-13 Mar 140/140/135 Media de 90 Días 10 Mar 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Mar 008/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Mar 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar 006/010-006/012-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Mar a 13 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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