Viendo archivo del martes, 20 mayo 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 May 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 140 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 May 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 362 (S10E10)
produced a C1.4 flare at 1931Z. Region 362 was shown some growth
since yesterday and has increased in magnetic complexity to a
beta-gamma configuration. Region 364 (S24W40) produced three C1
flares and has shown growth in area coverage. New Region 365
(S06E68) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. C-class activity is expected from Regions 362 and 364.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled levels with one period of
quiet conditions.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 May a 23 May
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 May 124 Previsto 21 May-23 May 125/135/140 Media de 90 Días 20 May 123
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 May 009/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 May 012/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 May-23 May 010/012-010/012-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 May a 23 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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