Viendo archivo del miércoles, 20 agosto 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Aug 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 232 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Aug 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred in the
last 24 hours. Region 431 (S10W84) is quietly rotating around the
west solar limb. Region 436 (N07E29) has changed little since
yesterday.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. C-class activity is possible in Regions 431 and 436.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled with isolated
active periods.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active for the next 24 hours. Mostly
active conditions are expected by 22 August in response to a
recurrent high-speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Aug a 23 Aug
| Clase M | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Aug 112 Previsto 21 Aug-23 Aug 110/105/100 Media de 90 Días 20 Aug 127
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Aug 018/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Aug 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Aug-23 Aug 015/020-020/025-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Aug a 23 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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