Viendo archivo del martes, 26 agosto 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Aug 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 238 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Aug 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low. Today's only C-class flare was
a C4/1n at 1559 UTC from Region 436 (N08W51). Region 436 is
declining slowly. New Region 445 (N03E24) showed gradual growth
during the past 24 hours but only produced a couple B-class flares.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low for the next three days. There is a slight chance
for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly unsettled to active during
the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic activity continues to be enhanced in
response to a persistent high speed coronal hole wind stream. The
greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes were at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with occasional active periods for the next
24 hours. Conditions should decline to predominantly unsettled
levels for the second and third days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Aug a 29 Aug
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Aug 121 Previsto 27 Aug-29 Aug 120/125/125 Media de 90 Días 26 Aug 127
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Aug 016/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Aug 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug 015/015-012/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Aug a 29 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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