Viendo archivo del miércoles, 27 agosto 2003

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Aug 27 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 239 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Aug 2003

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. Region 436 (N07W60) continues to decline slowly as it nears the West edge of the solar disk. New Region 446 (S22E36) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels. A single period of minor storming occurred at 1800 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled with occasional active periods for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Aug a 30 Aug
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 Aug 126
  Previsto   28 Aug-30 Aug  125/125/125
  Media de 90 Días        27 Aug 127
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 Aug  008/014
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 Aug  012/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 Aug-30 Aug  012/012-012/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Aug a 30 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%35%35%
Tormenta Menor20%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%35%35%
Tormenta Menor25%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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