Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 septiembre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Sep 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 251 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Sep 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity decreased to very low levels. Type III
radio sweeps comprised most of today's activity. Region 456
(S09E08) is the most complex region on the disk and was newly
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels. Isolated low level C-class flares are possible from
Region 456.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled to active levels. A
recurrent high speed coronal hole stream may produce isolated minor
storm periods through days one and two. Activity on day two may be
further enhanced due to a possible transient passage resulting from
yesterday's long-duration C5 flare. Day three should see a return
to predominantly unsettled conditions as the recurrent coronal hole
wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Sep a 11 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Sep 099 Previsto 09 Sep-11 Sep 095/095/100 Media de 90 Días 08 Sep 123
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Sep 003/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Sep 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Sep-11 Sep 015/020-020/025-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Sep a 11 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 45% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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