Viendo archivo del martes, 12 agosto 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Aug 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 224 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Aug 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels today. Regions
424 (S18W67) and 431 (S13E30) produced several low level B and
C-class flares during the period. Region 424 has shown a continued
decay in penumbral coverage yet remains a beta-gamma magnetic class
group. Region 431 underwent little change today and also retains a
beta-gamma magnetic structure. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels. A
recurrent high speed coronal hole stream that became effective early
in the period is believed to be responsible for the elevated
conditions. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels through day one of
the forecast period due to a recurrent high speed coronal hole
stream. A decrease to predominantly unsettled with isolated active
conditions are possible by day two as the coronal hole wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Aug a 15 Aug
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Aug 123 Previsto 13 Aug-15 Aug 120/120/125 Media de 90 Días 12 Aug 126
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Aug 009/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Aug 020/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Aug-15 Aug 020/035-012/020-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Aug a 15 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 10% | 01% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 30 marzo 2026
X1.5 solar flare
martes, 17 marzo 2026
M2.7 solar flare, CME arrival possible
domingo, 1 febrero 2026
Complex sunspot region 4366
Últimos mensajes del foro
Late 2026/04/01 Filament CME 11Comet C/2026 A1 (MAPS) for the southern hemisphere 30AR4409 57GoPro tips -which model, what settings etc 4AR4404 28
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 02/04/2026 | M3.5 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/04/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| abril 2026 | 141 +62.8 |
| Last 30 days | 94.6 +27 |
Efemérides*
Aurora on this day in history
No observations submitted for this day in history. If you've observed the aurora and you have some amazing photos to show off, submit your observations now!
Submit your aurora observation