Viendo archivo del jueves, 9 octubre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Oct 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 282 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Oct 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. The largest
flare was an optically uncorrelated B8 at 1510Z. Region 471
(S08W44) decreased in area coverage and has simplified to a beta
magnetic configuration. Region 478 (N10W06) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. Region 471 has the potential for C-class
flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels with one
period of isolated active conditions during local night time hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomanetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Oct a 12 Oct
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Oct 111 Previsto 10 Oct-12 Oct 105/105/100 Media de 90 Días 09 Oct 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Oct 006/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Oct 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Oct-12 Oct 006/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Oct a 12 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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