Viendo archivo del domingo, 23 noviembre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Nov 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 327 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Nov 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Regions 506 (S22E05) and
508 (S17E20) produced several minor C-class flares. No active
regions exhibited significant development during the period. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Regions 501 (N03W57), 507 (N09E10) and 508 are capable
of producing M-class and isolated X-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels. Solar wind
speed gradually increased over the period to 550 km/s. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active to minor storm
conditions are possible on 24 November due to increased solar wind
speeds from a geoeffective coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Nov a 26 Nov
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Nov 178 Previsto 24 Nov-26 Nov 180/180/180 Media de 90 Días 23 Nov 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Nov 014/022 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Nov 015/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov 015/020-015/020-010/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Nov a 26 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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