Viendo archivo del jueves, 29 enero 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jan 29 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 029 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jan 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Two new active regions were numbered today. Region 545 (S20W19) emerged on the disk and Region 546 (S12E68) rotated around the east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled with occasional active periods.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next 24 to 48 hours. Activity levels may increase by 31 January due to expected coronal hole effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jan a 01 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 Jan 087
  Previsto   30 Jan-01 Feb  090/090/100
  Media de 90 Días        29 Jan 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jan  024/019
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 29 Jan  010/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 30 Jan-01 Feb  010/015-010/020-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jan a 01 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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