Viendo archivo del miércoles, 25 febrero 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Feb 25 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 056 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Feb 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. There have been several minor C-class events with the most significant being a C8.0 from Region 564 (N14W14) on the 25th at 1225 UTC.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low. Region 564, which will remain on the visible disk through 28 February, continues to have the potential for C-class activity, with a very slight chance of an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Feb a 28 Feb
Clase M15%15%15%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Feb 119
  Previsto   26 Feb-28 Feb  115/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        25 Feb 114
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Feb  009/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Feb  010/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Feb-28 Feb  012/015-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Feb a 28 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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