Viendo archivo del martes, 10 febrero 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Feb 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 041 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Feb 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Regions 551 (S08W41)
and 554 (S10E38) have produced numerous B class flares. No
significant changes were observed to regions on the visible disk.
No new regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Regions 551 and 554 may produce C- and isolated M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with active and minor
storm conditions possible on 12 and 13 November as a coronal hole
high speed solar wind stream moves into geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Feb a 13 Feb
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Feb 117 Previsto 11 Feb-13 Feb 120/115/115 Media de 90 Días 10 Feb 121
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Feb 003/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Feb 005/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Feb-13 Feb 008/012-012/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Feb a 13 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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