Viendo archivo del martes, 24 febrero 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Feb 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 055 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Feb 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 564(N15E00) continues to increase in size, reaching 470 millionths today. The magnetic complexity of Region 564 remains relatively unchanged. A slight increase in X-ray background levels was observed starting around 1300Z. New Region 566(N05E21) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels. Region 564 has the potential for C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Feb a 27 Feb
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Feb 106
  Previsto   25 Feb-27 Feb  110/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        24 Feb 113
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Feb  009/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Feb  010/014
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb  010/012-012/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Feb a 27 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%30%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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