Viendo archivo del miércoles, 31 marzo 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Mar 31 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 091 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Mar 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels. Region 582 (N14W09) produced many B and C-class flares throughout the period. The sunspot coverage decreased slightly today while the gamma magnetic structure remained intact. Region 581 (S53W15) produced a C2 x-ray flare at 31/2308Z that was preceded by a small filament eruption. Region 587 (S13E37) showed a significant growth in sunspot area during the past 24 hours although there was no flare activity noted in this region today. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels. Region 582 remains capable of producing M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly quiet levels with periods of unsettled conditions are anticipated throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Apr a 03 Apr
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       31 Mar 121
  Previsto   01 Apr-03 Apr  120/125/125
  Media de 90 Días        31 Mar 111
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 30 Mar  009/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 31 Mar  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 01 Apr-03 Apr  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Apr a 03 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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