Viendo archivo del martes, 25 mayo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 May 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 146 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 May 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 615 (N17W53)
produced the largest flare of the period, a C1 x-ray event that
occurred at 24/2239Z. Region 618 (S10W00) was limited to B-class
flare production this period while two delta structures remain
evident across the magnetic region center in this beta-gamma-delta
complex. Little change was noted in sunspot area today. A 20
degree filament that was seen near the north-center of the disk
became active just before 24/1800Z, and had fully erupted by
24/1930Z. This disappearing filament resulted in a northward
directed CME as seen on LASCO imagery and appears to have little
geoeffective potential. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 618 remains capable of producing
isolated M-class flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
NOTE: The ACE spacecraft orbit will bring ACE nearly in line with
the Sun from about May 30 to June 2, 2004. During that time solar
radio noise is expected to interfere with spacecraft telemetry
resulting in the loss of solar wind plasma, magnetic field, and
particle data.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 May a 28 May
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 May 102 Previsto 26 May-28 May 100/100/105 Media de 90 Días 25 May 105
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 May 008/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 May 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 May-28 May 007/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 May a 28 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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