Viendo archivo del miércoles, 26 mayo 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 May 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 147 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 May 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

Solar activity decreased to very low levels today. Region 618 (S10W13) was limited to the production of several B-class flares today. This region underwent decay during the period however it still maintains a complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic structure. Region 619 (S09E76) enhanced the x-ray flux late in the period as surges and plague fluctuations were evident in H-alpha from near region center. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels. Region 618 has the potential to produce an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. NOTE: The ACE spacecraft orbit will bring ACE nearly in line with the Sun from about May 30 to June 2, 2004. During that time solar radio noise is expected to interfere with spacecraft telemetry resulting in the loss of solar wind plasma, magnetic field, and particle data.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 May a 29 May
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 May 103
  Previsto   27 May-29 May  100/105/105
  Media de 90 Días        26 May 105
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 25 May  005/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 26 May  003/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 27 May-29 May  006/008-006/010-004/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 May a 29 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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