Viendo archivo del sábado, 29 mayo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 May 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 150 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 May 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 618 (S10W60)
produced one C-class flare, a C2.1/Sf at 28/2045 UTC. This region
has grown in size and is now in a gamma magnetic configuration. New
Region 621 (S14E62) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Regions 618 and 621 may produce C- class and isolated M- class
flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Active and isolated minor storm
conditions are possible on days two and three (31 May and 1 June) as
a coronal hole high speed solar wind stream begins to move into
geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 May a 01 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 May 101 Previsto 30 May-01 Jun 105/105/100 Media de 90 Días 29 May 103
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 May 006/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 May 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 May-01 Jun 012/012-015/015-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 May a 01 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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