Viendo archivo del domingo, 30 mayo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 May 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 151 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 May 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 618 (S09W72)
produced a single C1.2 flare at 30/1934 UTC. Region 618 has
decreased slightly in magnetic complexity and is in a beta-gamma
configuration. New region 622 (S12E72) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Regions 618 and 621 (S15E51) may produce C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with active and isolated minor
storm conditions possible for the next three days as a coronal hole
high speed solar wind stream moves into geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 May a 02 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 30% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 May 100 Previsto 31 May-02 Jun 100/100/090 Media de 90 Días 30 May 105
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 May 012/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 May 012/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 May-02 Jun 015/015-015/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 May a 02 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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