Viendo archivo del sábado, 12 junio 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 12 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 164 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jun 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Two C1 flares occurred, at 12/1841 UTC and 12/1943 UTC, in a new unnumbered region rotating onto the disk near NE12. Other disk regions were quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low. A C-class flare is possible in Region 631 (S10E02) or in the new Region rotating onto the disk near NE12. Sunspots associated with the new active region are expected to rotate into view by tomorrow.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jun a 15 Jun
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       12 Jun 088
  Previsto   13 Jun-15 Jun  085/085/085
  Media de 90 Días        12 Jun 102
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jun  014/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 12 Jun  010/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 13 Jun-15 Jun  010/010-010/010-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jun a 15 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%25%
Tormenta Menor05%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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