Viendo archivo del viernes, 9 julio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jul 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 191 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jul 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 642 (S07E39) has
grown slightly in both sunspot count and white light coverage. It
was responsible for the only low level B-class flare in the past 24
hours. Continued CME activity were observed from the SOHO/LASCO
imagery. These appear to be backside events and not directed toward
Earth. A new region was numbered today as Region 643 (S08W07).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance for Region 642 to produce a C-class
event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Jul 087 Previsto 10 Jul-12 Jul 090/100/110 Media de 90 Días 09 Jul 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jul 001/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Jul 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 005/008-008/010-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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