Viendo archivo del martes, 22 junio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 174 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jun 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity decreased to very low levels today.
Region 635 (S12W27) continued on a decaying trend today while
maintaining a delta structure in the trailing spot cluster.
Multiple B-class flares were produced from this region throughout
the period. Region 634 (N12W44) underwent significant decay in
sunspot area during the period although it continues to retain a
beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 635 remains capable of producing an
isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jun a 25 Jun
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jun 117 Previsto 23 Jun-25 Jun 115/110/110 Media de 90 Días 22 Jun 102
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jun 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jun 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jun-25 Jun 003/007-004/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jun a 25 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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