Viendo archivo del domingo, 27 junio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 179 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jun 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Several C-class flares
occurred during the period. Region 637 (N08W16) produced a C1.0/Sf
at 27/0358 UTC. Region 635 (S10W90) produced a C2.3 at 27/1557 UTC.
New Region 639 (N11E73) produced a C1.6 flare at 27/1931 UTC. Two
new regions were numbered today: Region 639 (N11E73) and Region 640
(S09E68).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Regions 635, 637, and 639 may produce C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active. Solar wind speed
observed at ACE remains below 400 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with active conditions possible
28-29 June from the effects of high speed solar wind from a
geoeffective coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jun a 30 Jun
| Clase M | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jun 097 Previsto 28 Jun-30 Jun 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 27 Jun 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jun 008/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jun 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jun-30 Jun 010/012-012/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jun a 30 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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