Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 junio 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 178 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jun 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. Region 635 (S11W80) produced a C1.3 flare at 26/0424 UTC and a C8.6 flare at 26/0718 UTC. The region conitnues a steady decay in size and magnetic complexity. New Region 638 (N07E22) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low on 27 June, and decrease to very low levels on 28 June as Region 635 passes behind the west limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels. Solar wind speed has increased to 400 km/s, indicating possible effects of a coronal hole high speed solar wind stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled, with periods of active conditions possible for the next three days as a coronal hole high speed solar wind stream moves into geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jun a 29 Jun
Clase M35%15%05%
Clase X05%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 Jun 099
  Previsto   27 Jun-29 Jun  095/090/090
  Media de 90 Días        26 Jun 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jun  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 26 Jun  005/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun  008/015-010/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jun a 29 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%40%40%
Tormenta Menor20%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%40%40%
Tormenta Menor25%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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