Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 septiembre 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Sep 01 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 245 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Sep 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. A faint full-halo CME was observed on LASCO imagery beginning at 1255Z, although the CME is most likely backsided. New Region 667 (S09E76) is rotating onto the visible disk from the east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
Geomagnetic activity has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled. On 03 September, isolated active conditions are possible due to a glancing blow from a CME shock associated with the M1.4 flare from Region 663 on the 31 August at 0538Z.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Sep a 04 Sep
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       01 Sep 090
  Previsto   02 Sep-04 Sep  100/110/110
  Media de 90 Días        01 Sep 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 31 Aug  014/028
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 01 Sep  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 02 Sep-04 Sep  005/015-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Sep a 04 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%20%15%
Tormenta Menor01%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%25%20%
Tormenta Menor05%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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