Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 septiembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Sep 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 245 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Sep 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. A faint full-halo
CME was observed on LASCO imagery beginning at 1255Z, although the
CME is most likely backsided. New Region 667 (S09E76) is rotating
onto the visible disk from the east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
Geomagnetic activity has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. On 03 September, isolated active
conditions are possible due to a glancing blow from a CME shock
associated with the M1.4 flare from Region 663 on the 31 August at
0538Z.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Sep a 04 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Sep 090 Previsto 02 Sep-04 Sep 100/110/110 Media de 90 Días 01 Sep 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Aug 014/028 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Sep 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Sep-04 Sep 005/015-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Sep a 04 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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