Viendo archivo del jueves, 28 octubre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Oct 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 302 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Oct 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 693 (S14E61) had the
majority of the small flares that occurred during the period. Its
largest event was a C3 at 0316 UTC. The region appears to consist of
a mature spot group with a moderate degree of magnetic complexity.
Region 687 (N12W37), the active center of the past few days, was
mostly quiet and stable. New Region 694 (N16E22) emerged on the
disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at the low level.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled throughout the interval.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Oct a 31 Oct
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Oct 133 Previsto 29 Oct-31 Oct 135/135/130 Media de 90 Días 28 Oct 105
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Oct 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Oct 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Oct-31 Oct 005/008-010/012-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Oct a 31 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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