Viendo archivo del miércoles, 24 noviembre 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Nov 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 329 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Nov 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. New Regions 706 (S07E69) and 707 (S15E68) were numbered today. These regions are likely the return of old Region 698 (S09,L=062) and 693 (S17,L=074) respectively.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low. An isolated M-class event is possible with the emergence of the two new regions on the southeast solar disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled conditions. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active conditions are possible due to the effects of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Nov a 27 Nov
Clase M20%20%20%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Nov 107
  Previsto   25 Nov-27 Nov  120/125/130
  Media de 90 Días        24 Nov 106
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Nov  004/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Nov  005/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Nov-27 Nov  008/012-010/015-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Nov a 27 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%15%
Tormenta Menor05%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%25%20%
Tormenta Menor10%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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