Viendo archivo del martes, 30 noviembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Nov 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 335 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Nov 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was low. There were three C-class events
during the past 24 hours; A C2 at 29/2137 UTC from Region 707
(S14W12), a C4/Sf at 0658 UTC from Region 708 (N11E27), and a C1 at
1102 UTC from Region 707. Region 707 has shown only minor
development during the day but does have some weak mixing of
magnetic polarity in the trailer portion of the group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days (30 November - 02 December).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly unsettled to active during
the past 24 hours. Solar wind signatures show increasing velocity
(600-650 km/s), declining density, enhanced temperature, and regular
oscillations of the z-component of the interplanetary magnetic
field, all consistent with the presence of a high speed stream
driven by a coronal hole.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active for tomorrow (01 December) and
partway through the 2nd day (02 December). Thereafter activity should
begin to decline, with predominantly unsettled levels for the 3rd
day (03 December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Nov 111 Previsto 01 Dec-03 Dec 115/115/115 Media de 90 Días 30 Nov 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Nov 020/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Nov 015/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Dec-03 Dec 015/020-015/015-012/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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