Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 noviembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Nov 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 334 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Nov 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was low. There was one C-class flare
today, a C3/Sf at 0143 UTC from Region 707 (S14E02). There are
currently three spotted regions on the disk and they are all
essentially unchanged from yesterday.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (30 November - 2 December).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active. Solar wind speed,
temperature, and total interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) continued
to be enhanced after yesterday's solar sector boundary crossing. The
Z-component of the IMF has been fluctuating northwards and
southwards with values typically between -7 nT to +7 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active for the next three days (29
November - 2 December) due to persistence from currently enhanced
solar wind and the onset of effects from a favorably positioned
coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Nov a 02 Dec
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Nov 111 Previsto 30 Nov-02 Dec 110/110/115 Media de 90 Días 29 Nov 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Nov 016/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Nov 016/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Nov-02 Dec 015/020-015/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Nov a 02 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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