Viendo archivo del martes, 14 diciembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Dec 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 349 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Dec 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels again today.
Region 711 (N13W74) underwent a slight decay in sunspot area during
the period while the weak gamma magnetic structure remained intact.
No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 15 December. Active
conditions may occur beginning late on 16 December and continuing
through 17 December due to a recurrent geoeffective coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Dec a 17 Dec
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Dec 089 Previsto 15 Dec-17 Dec 090/085/085 Media de 90 Días 14 Dec 105
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Dec 008/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Dec 005/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Dec-17 Dec 005/005-010/012-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Dec a 17 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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