Viendo archivo del domingo, 26 diciembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Dec 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 361 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Dec 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 713 (S08W47)
produced a B9.9 flare at 26/1240Z. Region 713 is still in a decay
phase. A long duration B4.3 flare was observed on SXI imagery at
26/1929Z from a spotless plage region at S16E40.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for isolated C-class activity from Region 713.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The solar wind speed
is still elevated around 500 km/s due to the continued influence of
a geoeffective high speed coronal hole stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods at high latitudes on 27 December. Expect quiet to unsettled
on 28 and 29 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Dec a 29 Dec
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Dec 092 Previsto 27 Dec-29 Dec 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 26 Dec 104
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Dec 006/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Dec 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Dec-29 Dec 008/010-006/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Dec a 29 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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