Viendo archivo del martes, 28 diciembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Dec 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 363 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Dec 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels today. The
plage field in Region 713 (S09W78) showed a significant increase in
coverage along with the production of multiple C-class flares today,
the largest was a C7/1f event that occurred at 28/0010Z. An
increase in the sunspot area and an increase in the magnetic
complexity were observed this period. Region 715 (N04E74) began to
rotate into view and was numbered today. It is already exhibiting a
large asymmetrical sunspot. This region was responsible for the
C7/Sf event that occurred at 28/1801Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
An isolated active period was observed between 28/1800 and 2100Z,
likely due to a sustained southward Bz which was observed by the ACE
spacecraft.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels throughout
the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Dec a 31 Dec
| Clase M | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Dec 105 Previsto 29 Dec-31 Dec 110/115/115 Media de 90 Días 28 Dec 104
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Dec 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Dec 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Dec-31 Dec 005/008-006/008-004/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Dec a 31 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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