Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 enero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jan 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 024 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jan 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity decreased to very low levels today. All
three spotted active regions were responsible for the low level
B-class flare activity reported throughout the period. Region 727
(S09E38) was numbered today and is undergoing rapid growth in
penumbral coverage.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. Continued growth in Region 727 may lead to
C-class flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jan a 27 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jan 095 Previsto 25 Jan-27 Jan 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 24 Jan 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jan 012/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jan 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jan-27 Jan 006/008-005/008-006/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jan a 27 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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