Viendo archivo del martes, 11 enero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jan 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 011 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Jan 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 718 (S06E32)
produced a very impulsive C1.4 on 11 Jan at 1616Z. Regions 718 and
719 (S07E35) have been combined into Region 718.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 718 continues to show minor plage fluctuations with a fair
chance for isolated C-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels.
Interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) Bz has been fluctuating +5 to -5
nT over the last 36 hours, generating periods of active levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels. IMF fluctuations
associated with a large coronal hole have a potential to cause
periods of active levels through 13 Jan.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Jan a 14 Jan
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Jan 094 Previsto 12 Jan-14 Jan 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 11 Jan 105
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Jan 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Jan 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Jan-14 Jan 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Jan a 14 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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