Viendo archivo del sábado, 29 enero 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jan 29 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 029 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jan 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. No significant development was observed from active regions and no new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speed measured at ACE increased to over 550 km/s as a coronal hole high speed solar wind stream moved into geoeffective position.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active, with isolated periods of minor storming on 30 January from the residual effects of elevated solar wind. Activity should subside on 1-2 February to quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jan a 01 Feb
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 Jan 086
  Previsto   30 Jan-01 Feb  085/085/085
  Media de 90 Días        29 Jan 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jan  005/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 29 Jan  018/020
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 30 Jan-01 Feb  016/020-014/020-010/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jan a 01 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%35%35%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo45%45%40%
Tormenta Menor25%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%10%05%

All times in UTC

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