Viendo archivo del domingo, 30 enero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jan 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 030 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jan 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Region 727 (S09W42)
exhibited some growth in size and magnetic complexity, and was
observed in a beta-gamma configuration. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Region 727 may produce C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speeds
remained steady at about 600 km/s over the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active on 31 January, diminshing to quiet to
unsettled conditions on 1-2 February as the coronal hole high speed
solar wind stream moves out of geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Jan a 02 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jan 086 Previsto 31 Jan-02 Feb 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 30 Jan 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jan 016/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jan 010/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Jan-02 Feb 014/020-010/015-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Jan a 02 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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