Viendo archivo del lunes, 14 febrero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 045 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Feb 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity continued low. Region 734 (S05E04)
produced a C1 x-ray flare at 0408UTC. Region 733 (S09W13) generated
a C1 x-ray flare with Type II at 1158UTC. Although quiet, Region 735
(S08E20) grew in white light, now measuring over 400 millionths. The
remainder of the disk and limbs were quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at GOES was high again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. A slow, faint CME was seen by
LASCO midway through 13 February, associated with a flare from
Region 733. Should that CME affect the magnetosphere, it is not
anticipated to be significant, late in the interval.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Feb a 17 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Feb 118 Previsto 15 Feb-17 Feb 120/120/115 Media de 90 Días 14 Feb 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Feb 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Feb 003/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Feb-17 Feb 005/008-005/010-005/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Feb a 17 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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