Viendo archivo del martes, 15 febrero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 046 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Feb 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was low due to a C1 flare at 1948 UTC
from Region 734 (S04W10). Additional B-class flares were observed
during the day, mostly from Region 735 (S08E06).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux attained high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for tomorrow (February 16). Mostly
unsettled conditions are expected on February 17 and unsettled to
slightly active conditions are expected on February 18. The increase
is anticipated in response to a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Feb a 18 Feb
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Feb 122 Previsto 16 Feb-18 Feb 120/115/115 Media de 90 Días 15 Feb 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Feb 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Feb 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Feb-18 Feb 005/008-010/012-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Feb a 18 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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